Sunday, July 11, 2010

AAPL - Short Opportunity

While the market lost 9.46% since the top on 4/26, Apple has managed to lose half at 4.7%, and even made a new high on 6/21.  However, technicals are showing strong sell volume on down days and weak buy volume on up days, an indication that smart money is distributing and the uptrend is likely coming to an end unless earnings on 7/20 will prove to be another blowout.  In addition, negative divergence is showing on both the RSI and MACD.  Given that AAPL is currently the 2nd largest company behind XOM mobile in terms of market cap, both the earnings and outlook must be overwhelmingly positive for the run to continue. 



Three consecutive closes below $242 would result in a 20/50 EMA crossover and signal to short. 

No comments:

Post a Comment