Thursday, October 22, 2009

RDN Radian Group (RDN)

This analysis for RDN is done for a fellow blogger who shorted at 6.23. 

I think shorting this is still a bit too premature, as you'd be guessing right now, since the 20/50 didn't technically cross yet.  Also, the timing could have been a little bit better.  Remember the rule on the side bar:

Sell into strength in downtrends, buy into weakness in uptrends.

You instead shorted into weakness in a downtrend, which isn't so bad, but you're putting yourself at a disadvantage with little breathing room.  There's a couple things you could do and they're both up to you.

1.  Cover asap and take your loss.
2.  Wait for the 20/50 cross, and add to your short position once the price hits the 50 EMA.  If the price breaks through the 50 EMA, cover everything.  If the 50 holds, then you're good to go. 


1 comment:

  1. Thanks for the input and insight. Actually i shorted last Thursday. But didn't have faith in my decision and covered it. Next day it dropped more than a dollar.

    I will wait to see if it will retrace above 50 EMA..and than cover it.. I am only hoping to see it fill the gap.

    I am still waiting for an entry point on CGA.

    Keep posting...really like your analysis.

    Thanks,
    RS

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